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Large panel TVs share expected to cross 50% by FY2027, Crisil

A combination of tailwinds such as reduction in prices, rising incomes, increasing internet penetration, higher bandwidth availability, and rising consumption of over-the-top (OTT) streaming have tripled the share of large-sized panel televisions (40-inch and above) to over 40% in the past five years.

With the tailwinds continuing, the share should cross the 50% mark by fiscal 2027, a CRISIL Research estimate indicates.

A sharp decline in the prices of large panel TVs, by as much as 35-40% in the past five years, has been the most important spur. A 55-inch TV, which was priced ~Rs 100,000 in 2017, is now available for Rs 55,000-65,000.

So, what has led to this significant price drop? At the outset, competition in the space has increased considerably with the entry of Xiaomi, Vu Technologies, One Plus, etc, leading to a price war.

Says Pushan Sharma, Director, CRISIL Research, “The number of brands in the space has doubled in the past 5-7 years, with over 70 brands jostling for customer wallet at present. Also, there was surplus capacity in the 43-inch screen size as Western countries had already moved to larger-sized screens prior to 2018.”

Then there is rising internet penetration and subsequent rapid increase in OTT entertainment, which viewers prefer to consume on bigger TV screens. In fact, India has seen a surge in internet users over the past few years, with internet penetration reaching ~62% in fiscal 2022 from less than 20% of the total population in fiscal 2015. Reliable internet connections, with higher bandwidth, have increased OTT viewership from a miniscule number in 2015 to around one-fourth of the total population in 2021, as per industry sources.

Also, entry-level broadband plan tariffs have fallen to Rs 399-499 from Rs 899-999 in 2018 even as speeds improved. Along with this, people being confined to their homes at the peak of the Covid-19 pandemic has supported consumption of OTT content.

Another factor driving demand for large TVs is the release of films on streaming services amid the pandemic, given lingering fear of visiting multiplexes and a spurt in online education. Also, less expense on leisure and out-of-home activities led to the diversion of funds to in-home entertainment during the peak of the pandemic.

Added to all this, rising per capita income has improved affordability. Per capita income rose 10.9% and 9.3%, respectively, in fiscal 2018 and fiscal 2019, coinciding with the decline in prices of panel TVs.

The trend is expected to sustain over the longer term.

TVJ Bureau

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